US-Russia Economic Roundtable
41st Strategy for Peace Conference
October 26-28, 2000, Warrenton, Virginia
Thursday, October 26
Evening Session: Taking Stock, Setting the Agenda: Russia's Economic Trajectory
In this evening session, we will do formal introductions and poll participants about their objectives for the meeting. We will also do a quick blind poll about attitudes regarding the Russian economy. Results will be released the following morning.
Friday, October 27
Morning Session: Virtual Economy or Real Economy?
What is the Russian economy? What is the best way to understand economic life in Russia for the last ten years? Before moving to a discussion of future trajectories, or policy prescriptions, we must first establish some baselines about the subject.
Over the course of our meetings, we plan to move from the abstract to the concrete. Our abstract point of departure will be the virtual economy model by Ickes and Gaddy. After discussing the basic premises of this model, we will ask some of our "real economy" participants to discuss their reality. By the end of the discussion, we hope to have a complete picture of the Russian economy.
Afternoon Session: The Political Economy of Russian Economic Reform
If session two looks backward, session three looks forward. We will begin our discussion by debating the causes of Russia's recent economic growth. Are the recent rise in oil prices and the financial collapse of August 1998 the only causes for Russia's recent growth, or are there deeper structural changes beginning to occur that will sustain this growth over time? The second topic of this session will be economic reform under Putin? What is the plan? Will it succeed? In particularly, we will want to discuss the politics of economic reform under Putin, focusing particularly on Putin's initiatives regarding the governors, the Federation Council, the Duma, the oligarchs, and the media.
Saturday, October 28
Saturday morning joint session with Russia security group
This session will focus on the role of international actors in fostering economic growth in Russia, broadly defined. By the end of the session, we hope to generate some concrete policy recommendations